“For every remote miss who becomes stronger, there are countless near misses who are crushed by what they have been through." – Malcolm Gladwell, David and Goliath
We're coming up to one of my favorite seasons: college basketball tournament time. I messed around with a lot of organized sports in my youth, and while basketball isn't my favorite, it's the one I watch the most. Professional basketball players are miles beyond the skills of a high level college player, but pro ball doesn't have anything like the NCAA men's basketball tournament. 68 teams are selected, put into brackets, and it's win or go home. Either team can win. The margins of victory often come down to a couple of key possessions or missed shots.
The near miss is heartbreaking, but over the long-term near misses tend to lead to high level success. More so than narrow wins. The research bears this out. In studies of artists, film directors, scientists, and athletes, individuals with near misses outperform those with narrow wins in the longer run. The experience of a setback may create improved performances among those who persevere.
That's the trick, isn't it? The perseverance bit. Near misses may lead to long-term success, but they also lead to quitting. Especially among new entrants in these fields.
If you, like me, are spending an inordinate amount of time watching these games, spare a thought for the last second shot winners. It may be their highpoint. Those that narrowly miss have a good chance of turning out ok in the long run.
Good stuff.
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